Financial Sector Overview
Economic Context
Libya covers 1.7 million square kilometres and had a population of 6.73 million in 2021. It is an oil-producing North African country whose economic and security environment has been severely affected by the collateral effects of the Arab Spring. From then on, the country experienced political instability and remains fragile, which significantly affects the overall credibility of government institutions, the business environment, optimal tax revenue mobilization, and sound economic management. This situation was worsened by the COVID pandemic. Libya has also suffered from the collapse of oil prices due to the crisis. The country recorded a contraction of its real GDP growth in 2020 to -23.9 percent from -11.2 percent in 2019, the worst performance in the region. Also, the consequences of the civil conflict and the nine-month oil blockade led to a drop of at least 80 percent in Libyan exports. However, favourable oil prices led to a GDP growth of 31.4 percent in 2021. Libya's GDP per capita fell by 33.2% from US$13,926 in 2019 to US$10,458 in 2020 and back to US$13,574 in 2021. The average fiscal deficit has fallen from 64.1 percent of GDP in 2020 to a surplus of 10.6 percent of GDP in 2021 due to higher oil prices and the recovery of exports. The context of the pandemic combined with the limited fiscal space in Libya led to an increase in domestic debt, which reached 155 percent of GDP in 2020. Although the debt level has been estimated at 77 percent of GDP in 2022, it still remains high and will only be sustainable with some stability in the country's oil and gas production (World Bank, 2022). Libya's economic outlook remains positive, with GDP growth expected to stabilize at 4.4 percent in 2023, supported by expectations of strong oil production. However, Libya remains prone to political instability and a lack of security due to terrorist attacks in the Sahel region. In addition, oil price volatility and climate shocks remain concerns.
Overview of the Financial Sector
Prior to the outbreak of armed conflict in 2011, Libya's financial system had a solid foundation despite a shallow and undeveloped financial sector. A few years later, political issues also affected the financial sector with the advent of two financial systems operating in the country. One system was supervised and regulated by the Central Bank of Libya (CBL), while a second parallel financial system was run by the Benghazi Central Bank (BCB). This two-tier system, combined with the BCB's drawdown of liquidity and foreign exchange reserves from some banks, created significant systemic risk for the entire financial sector. Since 2022, a process of reunification of the two central banks has been initiated and is still ongoing. Building on its traditional tasks of implementing monetary policy, establishing a regulatory framework, and supervising the entire financial sector, the Central Bank CBL has worked to maintain a sustainable stock of foreign reserves until 2021. In addition, electronic payment methods have rapidly emerged as a transactional alternative under the CBL's leadership. The number of e-payment cardholders increased from 91,500 in 2016 to 581,000 in the first half of 2019, while mobile money has been integrated into the CBL's financial inclusion strategy. The CBL has also begun developing instructions for banks and financial institutions to increase their awareness and ability to track and report potential money laundering and terrorist financing activities. Libya is also a member of the Middle East and North Africa Financial Action Task Force (MENAFATF). The insurance sector is overseen by the Insurance Supervision and Controlling Authority. The national pension system is managed by a social security fund under the Ministry of Social Affairs, while a stock exchange (the Libyan Stock Market - LSM) was established in 2006 to diversify the sources of financing for the domestic economy but has been closed since 2014. Lastly, there is a sovereign wealth fund, The Libyan Investment Authority (LIA).The latest available figures from their website show that their assets amounted to $68.4 billion in 2019, or 99% of the GDP in the same year.
The Banking Sector
Structure of the banking sector - Libya’s banking sector comprises 20 banking institutions, 6 of which are state-owned (3 are 100% state owned and 3 are part owned).Whilst there has been foreign investment in the sector in the past, these have generally been plagued with problems and subsequently foreign banks have withdrawn from the country. As of 2022, there were 580 bank branches and agencies throughout the country. Banks account for approximately 80 percent of financial sector assets[1]. Due to the decline in GDP resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic bank assets increased from 33 percent of GDP in 2019 to 77 percent of GDP in 2020, before falling back to to 12 percent of GDP in 2021), as the economy recovered.
Structure of Loans and Deposits – Notwithstanding the COVID-19 pandemic, the banking sector in Libya contributed to financing the economy. Credit to the private sector, as a proportion of GDP, rose from 11.6% in 2019 to 16.5% in 2020, partly supported by measures put in place to curb the negative effects of the crisis and stabilized to 16.9% in 2021. Nevertheless, the supply of bank credit to the private sector in the country remains relatively low. The figures are well below the average for private sector credit in North Africa (41% of GDP in 2020) and in lower-middle-income countries (44.6% of GDP in 2020). Bank deposits (demand, time, and savings deposits) recorded a sharp increase in Libya over the 2019/20 period, which could be partially attributed to an acceleration in demand deposits, resource mobilization strategies, and the sharp decline in GDP. According to the Central Bank of Libya, it is the weak investment policy of banks that leads to an increase in deposits. However, in 2021, bank deposits fell sharply from 295.3% of GDP in 2020 to 32.9% in 2021, highlighting the cash crisis in the country due to the prolonged political crisis and the cohabitation of the two Central Banks.
Financial Strength of the Banking Sector - Although banking supervision by the CBL has improved somewhat in recent years, it remains weak. The poor digitization of banks forces them to rely on paper trails that are not always reliable. The lack of systematic risk management in banks also hinders supervision. There is no additional classification requirement to reflect Basel developments and few banks in Libya have an Internal Risk-Based (IRB) classification system. The issue of central bank unification, which is not yet effective, also remains a problem for the implementation and strengthening of risk-based supervision and the adoption of international prudential standards for Libyan commercial banks. In the meantime Libyan banks have generally performed well with resilient asset quality since 2018, as evidenced by the low NPL ratio, which remained below 5 percent and stabilized at 3.2 percent in 2022 with strong provision coverage. Banks held up well with adequate capital and liquid assets above recommended levels by CBL following Basel II amid the pandemic, suggesting that supportive measures undertaken seem efficient. The banking system also remained resilient, having entered the crisis well-capitalized and with ample liquidity. The Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) decreased from 19.2% in 2019 to 15.7% in 2022. However, Central Bank of Libya stated that these high ratios are a consequence of the weakened capacity of banks to use their funds and the inability to expand loans and credit facilities.
Financial Inclusion
Overall, Libya has financial inclusion indicators close to those of upper-middle-income countries. According to Global Findex 2017 data,[2] the country outperforms its peers in the "Middle East and North Africa" (MENA) and Sub-Saharan Africa. The proportion of adults holding an account in a financial institution, was 65.7% in Libya, against an average of 43.5% in MENA and 42.6% Sub-Saharan Africa in 2017. In addition, 59.6 percent of adult women and 71.8 percent of rural adults had access to financial services in the country, while only 35.3 percent of women and 36.9 percent of rural adults were financially included in MENA in the same year. The financial inclusion rate in Libya in 2017 as measured by the number of accounts also remains even higher than that of other North African countries in 2021. As for the level of borrowing from financial institutions, it was only 8% in 2017, which confirms the difficulty of access to financing for individuals and the private sector.
The recent liquidity crisis in Libya, combined with the CBL's incentives, encouraged the expansion of electronic payment transactions. The number of electronic payment cardholders literally increased six-fold between 2016 and June 2019 to more than 581,000 users, i.e. around 9% of the Libyan population. The value of electronic transactions amounted to LYD 1.6 billion (USD 1.14 billion) in the first half of 2019, representing 10% of the levels of bank credits and 1.8% of bank deposits in June 2019. The first mobile money service by a mobile phone operator was only launched in 2017, followed more recently by offers from some commercial banks. Electronic payments were also made by 32% of the adult population in 2016, compared to 33.3% in the MENA zone and 34.4% in Sub-Saharan Africa. The potential for mobile money and online payments remains high due to the significant penetration of mobile telephony estimated at 169.6 % in 2022, while the Internet usage rate for the total population was at only 49.6% in 2022[3].
Financing of Small- and Medium-sized Enterprise (SME)
Microfinance
The microfinance industry in Libya is embryonic, but it has significant potential. Libya’s first microfinance firm opened in 2019. Assaray Bank (ATIB), in partnership with Expertise France, launched Namaa Tamweel, with branches in Tripoli and Benghazi. A multi-donors funded[4] program under the supervision of Expertise France[5] aimed to support CBL with the development of the legal and supervisory framework to support microfinance development[6]. There was no provision for credit extension by non-bank financial institutions, and microfinance firms could not take deposits. Only banks regulated by CBL were engage in either. The multi-donors funded program supported the Libyan authorities in the creation of the necessary informational and regulatory framework to build an efficient credit market. Specifically, the interventions included support for: (1) improving the services offered by the Libyan credit bureau, (2) reactivating the credit guarantee fund, (3) developing a venture capital fund, and (4) improving access to finance for Libyan small and medium-sized enterprises. However, to our knowledge, there is no publicly available information on the outcomes and impact of these interventions, with the exception of the microfinance institution Namaa Tamweel. Even for Namaa Tamweel, there is no information available on the actual number of entrepreneurs who have benefited from these services and the impact on their businesses.
The market has opened considerably but remains weak and disorganized. The industry evolved from a single state-owned player, the Libyan Insurance Company (LIC), founded in 1971. Licenses were issued to new domestic players which mostly operated as sales operations for international reinsurers. By 2018, there were 22 licensed insurance providers, 18 of which were licensed in Tripoli, and 4 licensed separately in the East. They had an aggregated net asset value of over 1.2 billion dinars (US$ 879.1 million). Regulatory oversight of the insurance industry in Libya has been limited and is under the Libya Insurance Supervision Board (LISB) which was set up in 2008 reporting to the Ministry of the Economy under governing Law #3 (2005).
Capital Market
The creation of the Libyan Stock Market (LSM) in 2006 was helpful in diversifying funding sources in the economy, even though relatively recent compared to other advanced stock markets in the MENA region. It has also facilitated the economic liberalisation strategy initiated in the late 1990s through the gradual disengagement of the state from certain public enterprises. Consequently, some twenty public enterprises were partially privatised on the LSM before 2010. According to the latest available data, 12 companies were listed on the LSM at the end of 2018, including 7 commercial banks and 3 insurance companies. However, daily transactions were suspended in 2014 due to the deteriorating security situation.
Revenue from oil extraction has been significant in the past, enabling the government to develop long-term investment strategies by creating a sovereign wealth fund in 2006 known as the Libyan Investment Authority (LIA). Its main mission was to monetise the surplus oil windfall for the benefit of future generations by investing in the most attractive markets both in Africa and abroad. In 2019, managed assets were estimated at USD 68.4 billion, or 99% of GDP.
[1] https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/2885216004448372890280022020/original/LibyaFinancialSectorReviewEnglishFinal.pdf
[2] Libya was not covered during the 2021 Global Findex Survey.
[3] https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2022-libya#:~:text=Mobile%20connections%20in%20Libya%20in%202022&text=GSMA%20Intelligence's%20numbers%20indicate%20that,percent)%20between%202021%20and%202022.
[4] French Government, European Union and United Kingdom
[5] The French Public Agency For International Technical Assistance
[6] https://www.expertisefrance.fr/documents/20182/636432/Expertise+France+in+Libya+-+English+version/462c3b80-1110-4cd1-a2c6-86941aa07130
At a Glance
At a Glance SourceFeatured
Donor Projects Database
Projects
Latest News & Events
Latest Publications
Sources
No data found!!